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China urges citizens to trade in ‘old lithium e-bikes’ for newer lead acid electric bikes - Related to developing, china, ford, have, plug-in

China urges citizens to trade in ‘old lithium e-bikes’ for newer lead acid electric bikes

China urges citizens to trade in ‘old lithium e-bikes’ for newer lead acid electric bikes

In what might seem like a headscratcher, China is now urging its citizens to trade in their lithium-ion battery-based electric bikes for newer models with sealed lead-acid batteries (SLAs).

Electric bicycles are an incredibly popular form of travel in urban areas in China. An estimated 350 million electric two-wheelers of various forms travel the roads and bike paths in China.

Most e-bikes in China look more like what we would call scooters or mopeds, and many families as well as young adults rely on these e-bikes for daily transportation. While they technically require pedals and a maximum speed of 25 km/h ([website] mph) to qualify as e-bikes in China, most clients remove the pedals and effectively operate them as scooters.

SLA batteries, usually in the form of Absorbed Glass Mat (AGM) SLAs, have been commonly used in electric bicycles in China for decades. In fact, the technology for lead-acid batteries is over 100 years old, and early electric cars sold at the start of the 1900s were powered by lead-acid batteries.

Over the last decade or so, China has seen a shift from older AGM batteries, which are heavy and bulky, toward lighter and longer-lasting lithium-ion batteries.

However, safety concerns regarding rare yet dangerous lithium-ion battery fires have put a pause on that proliferation. The government instituted new safety standards for lithium-ion batteries in e-bikes last year, but there’s also been a major pushback toward AGM batteries for the domestic market. Even major technological leaders in the industry, such as Yadea and NIU, produce many AGM-based e-bikes for the domestic market while exporting primarily lithium-ion battery e-bikes abroad.

Now we’re seeing China’s Ministry of Commerce (MOC) announcing new policies to further promote trade-ins of lithium-ion battery e-bikes for AGM models. The new MOC policy includes subsidies to help individuals buy eligible new models.

Traded-in e-bikes will be sent for dismantling and recycling, a move the MOC says is intended to help phase out older electric bikes with safety risks.

While sealed lead acid-based batteries do have higher safety margins, they have significantly lower energy density and lifespans. To help solve this issue, some companies, such as Yadea, are pushing for sodium-ion batteries to replace both lead-acid and lithium-ion batteries as the next big e-bike battery chemistry.

Sodium-ion batteries have the safety advantages of lead-acid batteries, yet offer superior energy density and lifespans that are beginning to approach that of lithium-ion batteries. The cost remains relatively high for the newer sodium-ion battery technology, but significant investments in the development of sodium-ion battery manufacturing are expected to help reduce the cost in the next few years.

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Ford Says Large Electric Trucks And SUVs Have 'Unresolvable' Problems

Ford Says Large Electric Trucks And SUVs Have 'Unresolvable' Problems

Ford CEO Jim Farley did not mince words while explaining some of the drawbacks of very large, fully electric SUVs and trucks.

During Ford’s fourth-quarter 2024 earnings call on Wednesday, the automaker shared its electrification roadmap, reiterating that it would focus on small and medium-sized EVs that are more economically viable instead of going all guns blazing with battery-electric models across all segments.

“For larger retail, electric utilities, the economics are unresolvable,” Farley noted. “These consumers have very demanding use cases for an electric vehicle. They tow, they go off-road, they take long road trips. These vehicles have worse aerodynamics and they're very heavy, which means very large and expensive batteries.”.

A Ford spokesperson later clarified to InsideEVs that Farley was specifically referring to large, customer-focused "utility" vehicles—SUVs like the Ford Expedition and so on. Despite some setbacks and the cancellation of its large three-row SUV, Ford is far from done with EVs, however. The automaker is planning a midsize all-electric truck that is a kind of quasi-F-150 Lightning successor; a family of from-the-ground-up EVs on its so-called "skunkworks" platform; and a broadened series of electrified vehicles, including hybrids and extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs), which Farley elaborated on during the call.

Yet the economics of using a very large EV battery—say, 180 kWh or more—have been singled out as troubling as the auto industry seeks a zero-emission future.

If you want a decent electric pickup truck from the likes of Tesla or General Motors, be prepared to drain your bank account. The non-work-truck version of the 2025 Chevy Silverado EV starts at around $70,000 before destinations and fees. The Tesla Cybertruck starts at $79,990. The GMC Sierra EV starts at $92,000. They also have massive battery packs, as big as 212 kWh on the GMC Hummer EV, for example, and deliver terrible real-world efficiency.

Consequently, the sales of electric pickups didn’t look great in 2024. Sure, the Cybertruck was the best-seller among these EVs. However, the truck was once rumored to have a million-plus reservations, and Tesla was preparing a production capacity of over 250,000 units a year. Its sales fell far short at 38,965 units, . Plus, the hype is already cooling off. Sales of Ford's F-150 Lightning grew year-over-year but paled in comparison to gas-powered pickups. The enterprise has had to cut production multiple times to keep it in line with demand.

“Retail end-customers have shown that they will not pay any premium for these large EVs, making them a really tough business case,” Farley mentioned.

Profitability for the large family haulers will instead come from “PHEVs, hybrids and EREVs” that on “one tank of gas can get over 700 miles of range, but still drive most miles electric,” he added.

Ford wants to take a novel approach with its large SUVs and trucks. As Bloomberg first reported on Tuesday, the automaker is now pursuing extended-range electric vehicles. EREVs have an electric powertrain like a traditional battery-electric vehicle, but they also get a gas-powered generator for backup. The generator is tasked with recharging the battery, but it’s the e-motors that drive the wheels at all times.

Heavy-duty EVs only make sense for Ford’s commercial consumers, Farley showcased. Commercial consumers can charge electric delivery vans and work trucks at depots, and don’t have the same range anxiety as retail consumers. They usually don't over-buy batteries, like retail consumers do, focusing instead on their exact use cases. He added that small and medium-sized trucks and SUVs were the sweet spot for pure EVs as they require lower-cost batteries and fit the use case for daily commuters.

And as for the models that are in that sweet spot, Farley mentioned, “We're deep in the development of our next generation vehicles that we believe will be affordable, high volume and great for our business.”.

This story has been updated with additional information about Ford's electric plans.

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Ford developing big plug-in hybrid pickups, SUVs

Ford developing big plug-in hybrid pickups, SUVs

EREV system would pair battery pack with gasoline range-extender in series-hybrid layout.

Ford says it might deliver EV experience to full-size trucks and SUVs without price premium.

Separate findings hints at it might be extended to Super Duty trucks.

Ford has begun planning a series plug-in hybrid system for use in SUVs—as well as, potentially, some of its largest pickup trucks.

"Ford will be developing flexible body-on-frame and unit-body platforms that will be designed for these multi-energy powertrains that are needed given the realities of customer affordability and range requirements," expressed Ford CEO Jim Farley, in the corporation's Wednesday call for investors. Farley pointed to a combined range of 700 miles in an EREV (range-extended EV), which combines the range of a battery pack and gasoline-fueled range-extender.

It's expected that such a vehicle would follow a series-hybrid format, using the internal-combustion engine as a generator, with electric motors actually powering the wheels. A plug-in hybrid version would allow for a big enough battery pack to offer substantial electric range, with the combustion engine acting as a range extender.

Ford gave no arrival date for the powertrain, but 's heavy-duty trucks, badged Super Duty. It may begin appearing in larger trucks and SUVs in 2027 at the earliest, around the same time that Ford hopes to refresh its lineup of all-electric vehicles with more-affordable models, , citing anonymous data familiar with the matter.

Farley explained that while Ford may see a sweet spot for small and medium-sized EVs, especially as a second vehicle in the household, for larger retail electric SUVs, "the economics are unresolvable."

"These end-consumers have very demanding use cases for an electric vehicle—they tow, they go off-road, they take long road trips," explained Farley. "These vehicles have worse aerodynamics and they're very heavy, which means very large and expensive batteries."

The CEO went on to explain that while fleet consumers have proven willingness to pay extra for fully electric trucks, retail consumers haven't. But with an EREV layout, Farley, showcased, the incremental investment for such a vehicle, is "very minimal." That, the CEO suggested, might enable Ford to offer EV driving attributes without a price premium.

Ford last year introduced that it plans to launch more hybrids and cut back on EVs in response to what the automaker views as unfavorable market conditions for all-electric models. It canceled a planned three-row electric SUV originally planned to launch this year, while announcing new midsize and full-size electric pickups for 2027 and a commercial van to be built in Ohio starting in 2026.

Other automakers are looking at gasoline range extenders for trucks. The 2025 Ram 1500 Ramcharger is set to arrive at dealerships later this year, ahead of its all-electric Ram 1500 REV counterpart, which has been delayed to 2026. The Ram 1500 is a full-size truck—the largest still classified as a light-duty vehicle—while Ford's Super Duty trucks are classified as heavy-duty vehicles, and thus aren't subject to the same efficiency and safety standards.

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Market Impact Analysis

Market Growth Trend

2018201920202021202220232024
8.3%10.0%10.5%11.6%12.3%12.7%12.8%
8.3%10.0%10.5%11.6%12.3%12.7%12.8% 2018201920202021202220232024

Quarterly Growth Rate

Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024
10.9% 11.7% 12.4% 12.8%
10.9% Q1 11.7% Q2 12.4% Q3 12.8% Q4

Market Segments and Growth Drivers

Segment Market Share Growth Rate
Connected Cars35%14.2%
Autonomous Driving22%18.5%
EV Technology28%21.9%
Telematics10%9.7%
Other Automotive Tech5%6.3%
Connected Cars35.0%Autonomous Driving22.0%EV Technology28.0%Telematics10.0%Other Automotive Tech5.0%

Technology Maturity Curve

Different technologies within the ecosystem are at varying stages of maturity:

Innovation Trigger Peak of Inflated Expectations Trough of Disillusionment Slope of Enlightenment Plateau of Productivity AI/ML Blockchain VR/AR Cloud Mobile

Competitive Landscape Analysis

Company Market Share
Tesla16.9%
Waymo12.3%
NVIDIA DRIVE10.7%
Bosch9.5%
Continental7.8%

Future Outlook and Predictions

The Bikes Electric Ford landscape is evolving rapidly, driven by technological advancements, changing threat vectors, and shifting business requirements. Based on current trends and expert analyses, we can anticipate several significant developments across different time horizons:

Year-by-Year Technology Evolution

Based on current trajectory and expert analyses, we can project the following development timeline:

2024Early adopters begin implementing specialized solutions with measurable results
2025Industry standards emerging to facilitate broader adoption and integration
2026Mainstream adoption begins as technical barriers are addressed
2027Integration with adjacent technologies creates new capabilities
2028Business models transform as capabilities mature
2029Technology becomes embedded in core infrastructure and processes
2030New paradigms emerge as the technology reaches full maturity

Technology Maturity Curve

Different technologies within the ecosystem are at varying stages of maturity, influencing adoption timelines and investment priorities:

Time / Development Stage Adoption / Maturity Innovation Early Adoption Growth Maturity Decline/Legacy Emerging Tech Current Focus Established Tech Mature Solutions (Interactive diagram available in full report)

Innovation Trigger

  • Generative AI for specialized domains
  • Blockchain for supply chain verification

Peak of Inflated Expectations

  • Digital twins for business processes
  • Quantum-resistant cryptography

Trough of Disillusionment

  • Consumer AR/VR applications
  • General-purpose blockchain

Slope of Enlightenment

  • AI-driven analytics
  • Edge computing

Plateau of Productivity

  • Cloud infrastructure
  • Mobile applications

Technology Evolution Timeline

1-2 Years
  • Technology adoption accelerating across industries
  • digital transformation initiatives becoming mainstream
3-5 Years
  • Significant transformation of business processes through advanced technologies
  • new digital business models emerging
5+ Years
  • Fundamental shifts in how technology integrates with business and society
  • emergence of new technology paradigms

Expert Perspectives

Leading experts in the automotive tech sector provide diverse perspectives on how the landscape will evolve over the coming years:

"Technology transformation will continue to accelerate, creating both challenges and opportunities."

— Industry Expert

"Organizations must balance innovation with practical implementation to achieve meaningful results."

— Technology Analyst

"The most successful adopters will focus on business outcomes rather than technology for its own sake."

— Research Director

Areas of Expert Consensus

  • Acceleration of Innovation: The pace of technological evolution will continue to increase
  • Practical Integration: Focus will shift from proof-of-concept to operational deployment
  • Human-Technology Partnership: Most effective implementations will optimize human-machine collaboration
  • Regulatory Influence: Regulatory frameworks will increasingly shape technology development

Short-Term Outlook (1-2 Years)

In the immediate future, organizations will focus on implementing and optimizing currently available technologies to address pressing automotive tech challenges:

  • Technology adoption accelerating across industries
  • digital transformation initiatives becoming mainstream

These developments will be characterized by incremental improvements to existing frameworks rather than revolutionary changes, with emphasis on practical deployment and measurable outcomes.

Mid-Term Outlook (3-5 Years)

As technologies mature and organizations adapt, more substantial transformations will emerge in how security is approached and implemented:

  • Significant transformation of business processes through advanced technologies
  • new digital business models emerging

This period will see significant changes in security architecture and operational models, with increasing automation and integration between previously siloed security functions. Organizations will shift from reactive to proactive security postures.

Long-Term Outlook (5+ Years)

Looking further ahead, more fundamental shifts will reshape how cybersecurity is conceptualized and implemented across digital ecosystems:

  • Fundamental shifts in how technology integrates with business and society
  • emergence of new technology paradigms

These long-term developments will likely require significant technical breakthroughs, new regulatory frameworks, and evolution in how organizations approach security as a fundamental business function rather than a technical discipline.

Key Risk Factors and Uncertainties

Several critical factors could significantly impact the trajectory of automotive tech evolution:

Regulatory approval delays
Battery technology limitations
Consumer trust issues

Organizations should monitor these factors closely and develop contingency strategies to mitigate potential negative impacts on technology implementation timelines.

Alternative Future Scenarios

The evolution of technology can follow different paths depending on various factors including regulatory developments, investment trends, technological breakthroughs, and market adoption. We analyze three potential scenarios:

Optimistic Scenario

Rapid adoption of advanced technologies with significant business impact

Key Drivers: Supportive regulatory environment, significant research breakthroughs, strong market incentives, and rapid user adoption.

Probability: 25-30%

Base Case Scenario

Measured implementation with incremental improvements

Key Drivers: Balanced regulatory approach, steady technological progress, and selective implementation based on clear ROI.

Probability: 50-60%

Conservative Scenario

Technical and organizational barriers limiting effective adoption

Key Drivers: Restrictive regulations, technical limitations, implementation challenges, and risk-averse organizational cultures.

Probability: 15-20%

Scenario Comparison Matrix

FactorOptimisticBase CaseConservative
Implementation TimelineAcceleratedSteadyDelayed
Market AdoptionWidespreadSelectiveLimited
Technology EvolutionRapidProgressiveIncremental
Regulatory EnvironmentSupportiveBalancedRestrictive
Business ImpactTransformativeSignificantModest

Transformational Impact

Technology becoming increasingly embedded in all aspects of business operations. This evolution will necessitate significant changes in organizational structures, talent development, and strategic planning processes.

The convergence of multiple technological trends—including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and ubiquitous connectivity—will create both unprecedented security challenges and innovative defensive capabilities.

Implementation Challenges

Technical complexity and organizational readiness remain key challenges. Organizations will need to develop comprehensive change management strategies to successfully navigate these transitions.

Regulatory uncertainty, particularly around emerging technologies like AI in security applications, will require flexible security architectures that can adapt to evolving compliance requirements.

Key Innovations to Watch

Artificial intelligence, distributed systems, and automation technologies leading innovation. Organizations should monitor these developments closely to maintain competitive advantages and effective security postures.

Strategic investments in research partnerships, technology pilots, and talent development will position forward-thinking organizations to leverage these innovations early in their development cycle.

Technical Glossary

Key technical terms and definitions to help understand the technologies discussed in this article.

Understanding the following technical concepts is essential for grasping the full implications of the security threats and defensive measures discussed in this article. These definitions provide context for both technical and non-technical readers.

Filter by difficulty:

platform intermediate

algorithm Platforms provide standardized environments that reduce development complexity and enable ecosystem growth through shared functionality and integration capabilities.

hybrid intermediate

interface

electric vehicle intermediate

platform