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Vessev’s VS–9 electric hydrofoiling boat begins passenger operations [Video] - Related to vs–9, will, fsd, affordable, tesla

Tesla FSD will ‘go ballistic’ next year, says guy who said that last year

Tesla FSD will ‘go ballistic’ next year, says guy who said that last year

Tesla will “go ballistic” next year on the back of its autonomy efforts says Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who expressed the same thing last year about this year – and many years before.

Tesla held its Q4 and full year 2024 earnings today, missing expectations on revenue and earnings. The business had its first down sales year since 2011, despite a rising EV market.

The market initially responded poorly to the numbers, but recovered as Tesla guided a return to growth.

Part of that return to growth includes Musk’s prediction that Tesla’s autonomous offerings will drastically improve, leading to an “epic 2026 and a ridiculously good ’27 and ’28.” He stated that Tesla is “really going to go ballistic next year, and really ballistic in ’27 and ’28.”.

But these statements echo things that Musk has mentioned before, even up until a few months ago.

Last year, in Tesla’s Q2 earnings call, Musk described no less than 6 ways that the firm would change the world in 2025.

Those six ways were: Tesla Semi, a new “affordable EV,” the next-gen Roadster, unsupervised full self-driving, Robotaxi, and Optimus robot.

Those last three all fall under the umbrella of autonomous operation, which Musk has pivoted increasingly towards promising on short timelines (“next year”) and with ridiculous valuations (~$20-30 trillion market cap) in an attempt to pump the stock that the vast majority of his wealth is held in.

Those promises were supposed to come this year, in 2025, when they were promised last year, in 2024.

But today, during 2025, Musk seemed to move back that promise to next year, 2026.

It’s something that has happened many times before, as Musk has continually promised fully autonomous operation for several years now. Going all the way back to 2014, we’ve heard promises that Tesla’s cars would be able to drive themselves, even across country with no driver, as early as 2017. Many of these promises included the phrase “next year,” just as today’s did, despite Musk’s earliest timelines now being 8 years ago.

In today’s call, Musk spent a lot of time highlighting recent progress Tesla has made towards large-scale unsupervised FSD, by pointing out that Tesla’s vehicles are now able to operate themselves at low-speed on well-marked private property by driving themselves around a factory parking lot. It is, at least, an improvement from being unable to drive themselves through a one-way tunnel.

Musk also went on to say that fully autonomous robotaxis would be in operation within 5 months in some US cities, and in all US cities by the end of next year. Tesla will start off in Austin, two-and-a-half years after Cruise started operation there (and later ended it), and after Waymo has already started testing in the area.

He expressed that FSD would come later in Europe, mostly due to disparate regulatory regimes in the region, which he expressed need to be fixed (and yet, he is lobbying to make regulations even more disparate in Europe, through advocating for parties that want to break up the EU, like the neo-Nazi AfD party in Germany, and others).

On the back of these autonomy advancements, which are coming after other companies have already started doing the same thing, Musk revealed that Tesla has the potential to become “the most valuable organization in the world” and “worth more than the next five companies combined.”.

But, , you shouldn’t be skeptical of his timeline. Despite the fact that he has continually been wrong, and expressed that it’s hard to predict the future (and yet he keeps doing so), he claimed today that “the only people who are skeptical are those who haven’t [tried FSD].” So, sound off in the comments if you’ve tried FSD and yet are skeptical of Tesla reaching full autonomy next year.

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Vessev’s VS–9 electric hydrofoiling boat begins passenger operations [Video]

Vessev’s VS–9 electric hydrofoiling boat begins passenger operations [Video]

Nascent electric hydrofoil boat builder Vessev shared another key milestone this week, putting its first electric hydrofoiling boat into commercial operations. Ferry transport business Fullers360 is now operating the ultra-efficient VS–9 vessel to transport tourists and other passengers.

Vessev is a young, eco-friendly boat builder founded in Auckland, New Zealand a few years ago. The organization currently operates there and has been conducting sea trials of its flagship vessel, an electric hydrofoiling boat called the VS–9, since coming out of stealth mode in May 2024.

We have been following the marine startup as it moved closer to reaching commercial operations and tourism with its unique electric hydrofoiling boat that “flies” above the water. Last year, we learned that Vessev has lined up its first customer in NetZero Maritime – the green technology team at Fullers360 – New Zealand’s largest ferry operator, who signed on to help commercialize the hydrofoil technology.

This past September, Vessev shared images and footage of its first completed VS–9 electric hydrofoiling boat build alongside news that it would begin transporting passengers in New Zealand as soon as certification was complete.

Last we heard, the VS–9 had entered the last phase of sea trails before beginning commercial operations and had even started selling ride tickets to the public. Today, Vessev confirmed that electric hydrofoil rides are operational in New Zealand and shared some video footage of the experience.

Vessev’s first hydrofoiling boat transports tourists in NZ.

As promised, Vessev’s first electric hydrofoiling boat has begun commercial ferry operations in Auckland, New Zealand, with Fullers360. The quiet, sustainable vessel has been dubbed “Kermadec” and is now transporting passengers on tourism trips across Auckland’s waterways.

, this is the first time in the world that a certified electric hydrofoiling boat has entered a commercial fleet for transport services. Vessev CEO Eric Laakmann elaborated:

We are incredibly proud to see the Vessev VS–9 enter service with Fullers360. The VS—9 is the first electric vessel to enter the Fullers360 fleet and represents an enormous step on their path to being net zero by 2040. For the public, we’re thrilled that they can now also share in what we’ve been experiencing since the launch of the VS—9 in May. Traditionally, larger vessels are required to deliver a comfortable passenger experience as they can handle the impact of waves and wake. By flying above the waves, the Vessev VS–9 delivers a large vessel experience on an agile platform that can be berthed and charged in nearly any marina. In the future, we are going to see many different use cases made viable by technology like this.

The VS–9 will transport its passengers at speeds up to 25 knots (~29 mph) and can travel up to 50 nautical miles (57 miles/[website] on a single charge. With its first electric hydrofoiling boat in operation, Vessev will look to deploy additional sustainable vessels, but that’s not all.

The business has shared plans to continue its collaboration with Fullers360 and eventually introduce a new vessel into service called VS–18 – a 100-seater electric hydrofoiling commuter ferry. While we await that model, here is some footage of the VS–9 in action:

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Volkswagen's New EV Is The Affordable Car Tesla Won't Build

Volkswagen's New EV Is The Affordable Car Tesla Won't Build

Volkswagen revealed a new plan on Wednesday that signals a broader shift towards building affordable EVs.

A new entry-level model positioned under the [website] is coming to Europe by 2027, the automaker expressed.

The plant in Wolfsburg is on track to become Volkswagen's "capital of our new all-electric compact class."

Beyond the first and second waves of early adopters, electric cars have been somewhat elusive to the masses due to their high costs. Volkswagen, the world's second-largest automaker by sales volume, presented plans today to change that. The brand will launch a new entry-level EV that will be part of a wave of new affordable model launches over the next few years.

At its works meeting in Wolfsburg, Germany on Wednesday, Volkswagen showcased it has a new three-stage plan to remain competitive in the EV race, an area where it has struggled so far. Stage one is "catch up," followed by "attack" and "lead." The new affordable EV, presumably called the [website] (that name is unconfirmed) would be central to that plan.

It would start at €20,000 ($20,800) and be produced in Wolfsburg, which the brand noted would now become the "capital of our new all-electric compact class." It will be revealed in March and go on sale in Europe in 2027. It would be a model "from Europe, for Europe," so it's unclear if Volkswagen has any plans for a release in North America.

The teaser demonstrates a conventionally shaped compact hatchback with a clean front end. The headlamps are united by a thick black horizontal surround with an illuminated VW logo at the center, and vertical fog lamps housed in the bumper. VW didn't share any technical details, but logic points to it will ride on the modular electric drive (MEB) platform that underpins its current slate of ID series of EVs.

“We set the largest future plan in Volkswagen’s history in motion," VW CEO Thomas Schäfer expressed. "We are pursuing an ambitious path to ensure we achieve our shared goals with full commitment. A key step in this is making e-mobility attractive for everyone—that is our brand promise.”.

Before the new affordable EV goes on sale, Volkswagen will first launch the production version of the €25,000 [website] hatchback in Europe in 2026. It also plans to launch the next-generation electric Golf based on the scalable systems platform (SSP) by the end of the decade.

The Volkswagen [website] would be launched in Europe next year at about €25,000.

The list of Volkswagen's problems is lengthy and complicated. The German automaker has been facing severe headwinds amidst the broader electrification of the car market. Its sales have been falling, and it has struggled to keep up with the burgeoning Chinese EV brands—both in Europe and China, which is Volkswagen's largest market by sales volume.

The organization also faces competition from Tesla, which has been largely successful in Europe so far. Although, the American automaker's sales there have only slowed down in the recent past due to myriad reasons.

VW also narrowly averted what could have been historic plant closures in Europe after its workers went on prolonged strikes last year. Above all, its EV sales in the [website] have been lackluster after the [website]'s production stopped in mid-2024 to fix a faulty door issue. It's now back on sale and has plenty of catching up to do.

The brand has no new EV launches planned for the [website] this year. Even the [website] has been canceled for our market. But it has inked several strategic deals that could help revive its EV business. It revived the iconic Scout brand in the [website] and the fruits of that are expected to arrive by 2027. VW also has a $5 billion partnership with Rivian to build electric architectures and software suites for its next-generation EVs.

If the automaker brings this new affordable EV to the [website], it could have a genuine shot at turning things around.

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There are no Chinese brands in the [website], and seven brands from the [website].

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Market Impact Analysis

Market Growth Trend

2018201920202021202220232024
8.3%10.0%10.5%11.6%12.3%12.7%12.8%
8.3%10.0%10.5%11.6%12.3%12.7%12.8% 2018201920202021202220232024

Quarterly Growth Rate

Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024
10.9% 11.7% 12.4% 12.8%
10.9% Q1 11.7% Q2 12.4% Q3 12.8% Q4

Market Segments and Growth Drivers

Segment Market Share Growth Rate
Connected Cars35%14.2%
Autonomous Driving22%18.5%
EV Technology28%21.9%
Telematics10%9.7%
Other Automotive Tech5%6.3%
Connected Cars35.0%Autonomous Driving22.0%EV Technology28.0%Telematics10.0%Other Automotive Tech5.0%

Technology Maturity Curve

Different technologies within the ecosystem are at varying stages of maturity:

Innovation Trigger Peak of Inflated Expectations Trough of Disillusionment Slope of Enlightenment Plateau of Productivity AI/ML Blockchain VR/AR Cloud Mobile

Competitive Landscape Analysis

Company Market Share
Tesla16.9%
Waymo12.3%
NVIDIA DRIVE10.7%
Bosch9.5%
Continental7.8%

Future Outlook and Predictions

The Tesla Year Will landscape is evolving rapidly, driven by technological advancements, changing threat vectors, and shifting business requirements. Based on current trends and expert analyses, we can anticipate several significant developments across different time horizons:

Year-by-Year Technology Evolution

Based on current trajectory and expert analyses, we can project the following development timeline:

2024Early adopters begin implementing specialized solutions with measurable results
2025Industry standards emerging to facilitate broader adoption and integration
2026Mainstream adoption begins as technical barriers are addressed
2027Integration with adjacent technologies creates new capabilities
2028Business models transform as capabilities mature
2029Technology becomes embedded in core infrastructure and processes
2030New paradigms emerge as the technology reaches full maturity

Technology Maturity Curve

Different technologies within the ecosystem are at varying stages of maturity, influencing adoption timelines and investment priorities:

Time / Development Stage Adoption / Maturity Innovation Early Adoption Growth Maturity Decline/Legacy Emerging Tech Current Focus Established Tech Mature Solutions (Interactive diagram available in full report)

Innovation Trigger

  • Generative AI for specialized domains
  • Blockchain for supply chain verification

Peak of Inflated Expectations

  • Digital twins for business processes
  • Quantum-resistant cryptography

Trough of Disillusionment

  • Consumer AR/VR applications
  • General-purpose blockchain

Slope of Enlightenment

  • AI-driven analytics
  • Edge computing

Plateau of Productivity

  • Cloud infrastructure
  • Mobile applications

Technology Evolution Timeline

1-2 Years
  • Technology adoption accelerating across industries
  • digital transformation initiatives becoming mainstream
3-5 Years
  • Significant transformation of business processes through advanced technologies
  • new digital business models emerging
5+ Years
  • Fundamental shifts in how technology integrates with business and society
  • emergence of new technology paradigms

Expert Perspectives

Leading experts in the automotive tech sector provide diverse perspectives on how the landscape will evolve over the coming years:

"Technology transformation will continue to accelerate, creating both challenges and opportunities."

— Industry Expert

"Organizations must balance innovation with practical implementation to achieve meaningful results."

— Technology Analyst

"The most successful adopters will focus on business outcomes rather than technology for its own sake."

— Research Director

Areas of Expert Consensus

  • Acceleration of Innovation: The pace of technological evolution will continue to increase
  • Practical Integration: Focus will shift from proof-of-concept to operational deployment
  • Human-Technology Partnership: Most effective implementations will optimize human-machine collaboration
  • Regulatory Influence: Regulatory frameworks will increasingly shape technology development

Short-Term Outlook (1-2 Years)

In the immediate future, organizations will focus on implementing and optimizing currently available technologies to address pressing automotive tech challenges:

  • Technology adoption accelerating across industries
  • digital transformation initiatives becoming mainstream

These developments will be characterized by incremental improvements to existing frameworks rather than revolutionary changes, with emphasis on practical deployment and measurable outcomes.

Mid-Term Outlook (3-5 Years)

As technologies mature and organizations adapt, more substantial transformations will emerge in how security is approached and implemented:

  • Significant transformation of business processes through advanced technologies
  • new digital business models emerging

This period will see significant changes in security architecture and operational models, with increasing automation and integration between previously siloed security functions. Organizations will shift from reactive to proactive security postures.

Long-Term Outlook (5+ Years)

Looking further ahead, more fundamental shifts will reshape how cybersecurity is conceptualized and implemented across digital ecosystems:

  • Fundamental shifts in how technology integrates with business and society
  • emergence of new technology paradigms

These long-term developments will likely require significant technical breakthroughs, new regulatory frameworks, and evolution in how organizations approach security as a fundamental business function rather than a technical discipline.

Key Risk Factors and Uncertainties

Several critical factors could significantly impact the trajectory of automotive tech evolution:

Regulatory approval delays
Battery technology limitations
Consumer trust issues

Organizations should monitor these factors closely and develop contingency strategies to mitigate potential negative impacts on technology implementation timelines.

Alternative Future Scenarios

The evolution of technology can follow different paths depending on various factors including regulatory developments, investment trends, technological breakthroughs, and market adoption. We analyze three potential scenarios:

Optimistic Scenario

Rapid adoption of advanced technologies with significant business impact

Key Drivers: Supportive regulatory environment, significant research breakthroughs, strong market incentives, and rapid user adoption.

Probability: 25-30%

Base Case Scenario

Measured implementation with incremental improvements

Key Drivers: Balanced regulatory approach, steady technological progress, and selective implementation based on clear ROI.

Probability: 50-60%

Conservative Scenario

Technical and organizational barriers limiting effective adoption

Key Drivers: Restrictive regulations, technical limitations, implementation challenges, and risk-averse organizational cultures.

Probability: 15-20%

Scenario Comparison Matrix

FactorOptimisticBase CaseConservative
Implementation TimelineAcceleratedSteadyDelayed
Market AdoptionWidespreadSelectiveLimited
Technology EvolutionRapidProgressiveIncremental
Regulatory EnvironmentSupportiveBalancedRestrictive
Business ImpactTransformativeSignificantModest

Transformational Impact

Technology becoming increasingly embedded in all aspects of business operations. This evolution will necessitate significant changes in organizational structures, talent development, and strategic planning processes.

The convergence of multiple technological trends—including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and ubiquitous connectivity—will create both unprecedented security challenges and innovative defensive capabilities.

Implementation Challenges

Technical complexity and organizational readiness remain key challenges. Organizations will need to develop comprehensive change management strategies to successfully navigate these transitions.

Regulatory uncertainty, particularly around emerging technologies like AI in security applications, will require flexible security architectures that can adapt to evolving compliance requirements.

Key Innovations to Watch

Artificial intelligence, distributed systems, and automation technologies leading innovation. Organizations should monitor these developments closely to maintain competitive advantages and effective security postures.

Strategic investments in research partnerships, technology pilots, and talent development will position forward-thinking organizations to leverage these innovations early in their development cycle.

Technical Glossary

Key technical terms and definitions to help understand the technologies discussed in this article.

Understanding the following technical concepts is essential for grasping the full implications of the security threats and defensive measures discussed in this article. These definitions provide context for both technical and non-technical readers.

Filter by difficulty:

platform intermediate

algorithm Platforms provide standardized environments that reduce development complexity and enable ecosystem growth through shared functionality and integration capabilities.

API beginner

interface APIs serve as the connective tissue in modern software architectures, enabling different applications and services to communicate and share data according to defined protocols and data formats.
API concept visualizationHow APIs enable communication between different software systems
Example: Cloud service providers like AWS, Google Cloud, and Azure offer extensive APIs that allow organizations to programmatically provision and manage infrastructure and services.

electric vehicle intermediate

platform