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Automakers Call For Gradual Tax Credit Phase-Out Instead Of Trump’s Rug Pull - Related to cost, trump’s, phase-out, seeking, report:

Automakers Call For Gradual Tax Credit Phase-Out Instead Of Trump’s Rug Pull

Automakers Call For Gradual Tax Credit Phase-Out Instead Of Trump’s Rug Pull

Automakers are uncertain about the future of the Inflation Reduction Act and the EV tax credit.

If it's repealed, manufacturers are calling for a multi-year phase-out.

An instant repeal could cost the [website] thousands of jobs and billions of dollars, plus an uncertain future of American position in the global EV race, they argue.

Automakers have spent the last few years betting billions on the EV race. New factories, robust supply chains and big battery plans peppered not just across the globe, but also planted deep within America's auto manufacturing belts. But now, with President Trump at the helm and Tesla CEO Elon Musk on a wild cost-cutting mission across the government, the EV tax credit is poised to be gutted.

Needless to say, manufacturers are scrambling to soften the blow that Trump warned could be coming since before he was elected in November. The latest pitch? , automakers are petitioning the federal government that if the repeal of the Inflation Reduction Act is inevitable, just don't pull the rug out on them. Instead, they're asking for elements like the EV tax credit to be phased out over several years.

To be clear, this is a delicate dance. Automakers need to stay on Trump's good side—especially with the [website] government playing a game of tariff-chicken with Canada and Mexico. But these manufacturers also can't just ignore the fact that incentives for their most competitive EVs could disappear overnight.

Executives at General Motors and Ford have been making the rounds in Washington to advocate for automakers. For example, GM CEO Mary Barra not long ago met with Trump to discuss tariffs and how administrative policies could affect the [website] auto industry. Ford CEO Jim Farley is slated to meet with Congress this week—his second trip to Washington in three weeks—to talk business.

“We have the potential repeal of various IRA elements,” noted Farley at an investor conference in New York on Tuesday, . “We’ve already sunk capital. And many of those jobs will be at risk if the IRA is repealed, [if] big parts of it [are] repealed.”.

It would seem that the auto industry really isn't sure what's going to happen with the IRA, including the EV tax credit. They have been hedging their respective bets, though. Hyundai was one of those companies that significantly upped its spending on political lobbying when Trump vowed to nuke EV subsidies last year. But an uncertain future means continuing to pressure those passing the laws for a potentially favorable outcome.

The argument being made isn't just about the free money automakers are getting (although that may certainly sweeten the deal). Car companies made big decisions based on the promise of government funding and if that goes away, the industry could be in a world of hurt.

A gradual phase-out would allow automakers time to lower EV costs. Battery prices are a prime example. While they're slated to continue to fall through the top of the decade, the battery pack still makes up a significant chunk of an EV's cost. Certain EVs are only competitive because of the tax credit, meaning that eliminating the incentive could result in car companies making the decision to take a huge loss on the model, or maybe to simply discontinue it entirely.

Keeping the credits in place may also protect thousands of jobs. The battery belt—the stretch of states between the midwest and southeast [website] that benefit from new and planned battery factories—has become a hub for EV manufacturing. Many of these jobs have come into fruition simply because the IRA's tax incentives. Should those incentives go away without warning, those jobs could be at risk. Data from the American EV Jobs Alliance demonstrates that the [website] has invested $200 billion to create 200,000 EV-related jobs across 12 states (meaning, an average cost of $1 million per position).

An instant repeal would also put the [website] at an even further disadvantage in the ongoing EV spat between the [website] and China. The IRA helped to build a more robust supply chain that utilizes domestic manufacturing and sourcing, reducing the reliance of Chinese components and battery materials. A sharp rise in cost and looser sourcing requirements could lead to an influx of Chinese EVs in the [website]—something that the IRA (and tariffs) were meant to protect against.

"It's messed up. But I would say, if you must eliminate it, have a ramp down," mentioned Kia America COO Steve Center, in an interview with InsideEVs in November. He continued: "A lot of other companies have spent a lot of money trying to comply with the regulations. Don't keep changing the regulations."

Automakers are pleading, but it's unclear if Trump or Congress are actually listening.

Trump hasn't hid his skepticism towards EVs and EV-related subsidies. And his bubbling bromance with Elon Musk, who also called for ending all subsidies, doesn't inspire confidence that the tax credit is sticking around.

House Republicans are will be essential deciding whether or not key pieces of the IRA are repealed. This leaves automakers to play defense and convince lawmakers of the IRA's necessity. There's evidence they may be hesitant to repeal, it though: 19 of the 25 major automaker battery and manufacturing plants being stood up are in GOP-controlled congressional districts. Many of the remaining plants, , are in states that supported the Trump presidency in the November election.

Should the IRA be repealed or cut in an official capacity, it will likely come as part of a reconciliation bill. This means that lawmakers will be forced to weigh the benefits of the job losses against Trump's priorities and campaign promises.

Automakers know they're walking a thin tightrope. EV production needs to keep moving forward and executives need to do what they do best: lead in uncertain times. The current administration seems eager to roll back incentives, but if done too quickly, EV adoption could be stalled, jobs killed and the [website] auto industry left behind while the rest of the world pushes forward. If it does happen, automakers will have no choice but to adjust quickly or risk losing billions in investments that can't be easily walked back.

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Report: GM, Ford seeking gradual EV tax credit phaseout

Report: GM, Ford seeking gradual EV tax credit phaseout

Automakers are already preparing for the federal government stop electric vehicle tax incentives, lobbying for a gradual phaseout rather than an abrupt end, Bloomberg reported Tuesday.

Several automakers, including Ford and General Motors, along with industry lobbying groups, have asked the Trump Administration and Republican Congressional lawmakers to preserve some EV incentives from the Biden Administration's Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) as long as possible, , which cites anonymous information familiar with the matter.

The IRA, with its manufacturing incentives and tax credits, was predicted to double EV sales by 2030 vs. the previous forecast. But by all previous accounts, the Trump Administration was aiming to make nixing the federal EV tax credit a priority—with support from Elon Musk and Tesla.

, one of the ideas being discussed in the event that Trump eliminates it is a three-year credit sunset that would buy more time to reduce costs of new EVs and make the loss of the tax credit less impactful.

Automakers are reportedly also rallying to keep the so-called leasing loophole that allows automakers with captive financing companies to get a $7,500 tax credit for leased vehicles, and pass the savings on to the customer. This allows for an equivalent discount on EVs that wouldn't normally qualify for the credit due to price, battery-materials sourcing, or the customer's income.

That led to a surge in EV leasing in recent years—with federal money subsidizing luxury EVs built in other countries. That's likely not going to be a winning argument in Congress, where the IRA's EV tax credit barely squeaked through the first time around.

Even if automakers fail to convince Republicans to keep the federal EV tax credit, increased state incentives may help make up for it. California plans to provide its residents with $7,500 rebates if Trump kills the tax credit, but it's seeking to exclude Tesla, ostensibly to provide more incentives to brands with less market share in order to promote competition.

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Trump Causing 'A Lot Of Cost And A Lot Of Chaos' In Auto Market: Ford CEO

Trump Causing 'A Lot Of Cost And A Lot Of Chaos' In Auto Market: Ford CEO

The auto industry is sounding the alarm about proposed tariffs on Mexico and Canada.

Ford CEO Jim Farley is pretty clear that he's unhappy with what he's seen from the Trump administration.

"So far what we’re seeing is a lot of cost and a lot of chaos," he expressed at a conference.

Donald Trump wants to be a business-friendly president. The main problem so far, however, is that his policies don't match that pitch. He sent the stock market into a tail-slide when he unveiled 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, only to delay them right before they took effect. Ford CEO Jim Farley didn't mince words about the problems this is creating for the firm, as a new study from Automotive News details.

“President Trump has talked a lot about making our [website] auto industry stronger, bringing more production here, more innovation to the [website], and if this administration can achieve that it would be, I think, one of the most signature accomplishments,” Farley noted, per Automotive News. “So far what we’re seeing is a lot of cost and a lot of chaos.”.

He mentioned this during the Wolfe Research Auto, Auto Tech and Semiconductor Conference, during which Trump has been a key topic. During the President's previous term, he renegotiated the trade agreement governing commerce between the [website], Mexico and Canada. His [website] Agreement (USMCA) succeeded the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), with both allowing broadly duty-free trade between the major partners. But Trump no longer seems to back his own agreement, arguing that Mexico and Canada are depriving the [website] of jobs.

This is a headache for companies like Ford and General Motors, which have invested billions in Mexico and Canada, relying on free-trade agreements to export Mexican- or Canadian-built cars into the [website] Farley says Ford has worked hard to become USMCA compliant, with most of its content coming from one of the three nations. But now the new tariffs threaten to blow up that work.

The Chevy Blazer EV and Equinox EV are both built in Mexico. That could be a problem for GM's EV ambitions.

Ford has a plan for how to address this issue, and I highly recommend you read the Automotive News story for the full breakdown. But Farley is saying out loud here what many companies are saying behind the scenes: Automotive supply chains take years to set up, and they can't be relocated on a whim. Especially given that Trump's orders so far have seen delays, court-ordered pauses and constant whipsaws. Businesses depend on regulatory stability and certainty that Trump isn't providing.

Of course, the effort to build more products domestically is not without merits. Trump's push to bring jobs back was a good campaign promise for a reason: Americans miss the days when a robust manufacturing economy provided upward mobility and stable middle-class paychecks to broad swaths of the public. Yet it's a strange time for such a push.

While all politicians want to increase the number of available jobs, the [website] economy has arguably the opposite core issue right now. We are near full employment, and worries over consumer prices seem to be the thing weighing down most pocketbooks. Tariffs almost always result in higher prices for consumers, and even if they result in more domestic jobs, there are plenty of signs that the [website] can't absorb even more demand for workers without it increasing inflation.

I won't claim to know the answer. There's no absolute truth in free trade or protectionism, no perfect way to balance our desire for high-paying manufacturing jobs with our desire to have everything we could possibly want, at the lowest possible price. But one thing is clear for business: If American companies are going to succeed, to lead the world, they need to know the rules of the game they're playing. Immediately tearing up all their existing assets and plans is not a viable commercial strategy. And if the [website] has a messy divorce from its closest trading partners, you, the auto industry and everyone else is going to feel that pain.

“Let’s be real honest: Long-term, 25% tariffs across the Mexican and Canadian border would blow a hole in the [website] industry that we have never seen,” Farley expressed. Let's hope it doesn't come to that.

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Market Impact Analysis

Market Growth Trend

2018201920202021202220232024
8.3%10.0%10.5%11.6%12.3%12.7%12.8%
8.3%10.0%10.5%11.6%12.3%12.7%12.8% 2018201920202021202220232024

Quarterly Growth Rate

Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024
10.9% 11.7% 12.4% 12.8%
10.9% Q1 11.7% Q2 12.4% Q3 12.8% Q4

Market Segments and Growth Drivers

Segment Market Share Growth Rate
Connected Cars35%14.2%
Autonomous Driving22%18.5%
EV Technology28%21.9%
Telematics10%9.7%
Other Automotive Tech5%6.3%
Connected Cars35.0%Autonomous Driving22.0%EV Technology28.0%Telematics10.0%Other Automotive Tech5.0%

Technology Maturity Curve

Different technologies within the ecosystem are at varying stages of maturity:

Innovation Trigger Peak of Inflated Expectations Trough of Disillusionment Slope of Enlightenment Plateau of Productivity AI/ML Blockchain VR/AR Cloud Mobile

Competitive Landscape Analysis

Company Market Share
Tesla16.9%
Waymo12.3%
NVIDIA DRIVE10.7%
Bosch9.5%
Continental7.8%

Future Outlook and Predictions

The Gradual Credit Trump landscape is evolving rapidly, driven by technological advancements, changing threat vectors, and shifting business requirements. Based on current trends and expert analyses, we can anticipate several significant developments across different time horizons:

Year-by-Year Technology Evolution

Based on current trajectory and expert analyses, we can project the following development timeline:

2024Early adopters begin implementing specialized solutions with measurable results
2025Industry standards emerging to facilitate broader adoption and integration
2026Mainstream adoption begins as technical barriers are addressed
2027Integration with adjacent technologies creates new capabilities
2028Business models transform as capabilities mature
2029Technology becomes embedded in core infrastructure and processes
2030New paradigms emerge as the technology reaches full maturity

Technology Maturity Curve

Different technologies within the ecosystem are at varying stages of maturity, influencing adoption timelines and investment priorities:

Time / Development Stage Adoption / Maturity Innovation Early Adoption Growth Maturity Decline/Legacy Emerging Tech Current Focus Established Tech Mature Solutions (Interactive diagram available in full report)

Innovation Trigger

  • Generative AI for specialized domains
  • Blockchain for supply chain verification

Peak of Inflated Expectations

  • Digital twins for business processes
  • Quantum-resistant cryptography

Trough of Disillusionment

  • Consumer AR/VR applications
  • General-purpose blockchain

Slope of Enlightenment

  • AI-driven analytics
  • Edge computing

Plateau of Productivity

  • Cloud infrastructure
  • Mobile applications

Technology Evolution Timeline

1-2 Years
  • Technology adoption accelerating across industries
  • digital transformation initiatives becoming mainstream
3-5 Years
  • Significant transformation of business processes through advanced technologies
  • new digital business models emerging
5+ Years
  • Fundamental shifts in how technology integrates with business and society
  • emergence of new technology paradigms

Expert Perspectives

Leading experts in the automotive tech sector provide diverse perspectives on how the landscape will evolve over the coming years:

"Technology transformation will continue to accelerate, creating both challenges and opportunities."

— Industry Expert

"Organizations must balance innovation with practical implementation to achieve meaningful results."

— Technology Analyst

"The most successful adopters will focus on business outcomes rather than technology for its own sake."

— Research Director

Areas of Expert Consensus

  • Acceleration of Innovation: The pace of technological evolution will continue to increase
  • Practical Integration: Focus will shift from proof-of-concept to operational deployment
  • Human-Technology Partnership: Most effective implementations will optimize human-machine collaboration
  • Regulatory Influence: Regulatory frameworks will increasingly shape technology development

Short-Term Outlook (1-2 Years)

In the immediate future, organizations will focus on implementing and optimizing currently available technologies to address pressing automotive tech challenges:

  • Technology adoption accelerating across industries
  • digital transformation initiatives becoming mainstream

These developments will be characterized by incremental improvements to existing frameworks rather than revolutionary changes, with emphasis on practical deployment and measurable outcomes.

Mid-Term Outlook (3-5 Years)

As technologies mature and organizations adapt, more substantial transformations will emerge in how security is approached and implemented:

  • Significant transformation of business processes through advanced technologies
  • new digital business models emerging

This period will see significant changes in security architecture and operational models, with increasing automation and integration between previously siloed security functions. Organizations will shift from reactive to proactive security postures.

Long-Term Outlook (5+ Years)

Looking further ahead, more fundamental shifts will reshape how cybersecurity is conceptualized and implemented across digital ecosystems:

  • Fundamental shifts in how technology integrates with business and society
  • emergence of new technology paradigms

These long-term developments will likely require significant technical breakthroughs, new regulatory frameworks, and evolution in how organizations approach security as a fundamental business function rather than a technical discipline.

Key Risk Factors and Uncertainties

Several critical factors could significantly impact the trajectory of automotive tech evolution:

Regulatory approval delays
Battery technology limitations
Consumer trust issues

Organizations should monitor these factors closely and develop contingency strategies to mitigate potential negative impacts on technology implementation timelines.

Alternative Future Scenarios

The evolution of technology can follow different paths depending on various factors including regulatory developments, investment trends, technological breakthroughs, and market adoption. We analyze three potential scenarios:

Optimistic Scenario

Rapid adoption of advanced technologies with significant business impact

Key Drivers: Supportive regulatory environment, significant research breakthroughs, strong market incentives, and rapid user adoption.

Probability: 25-30%

Base Case Scenario

Measured implementation with incremental improvements

Key Drivers: Balanced regulatory approach, steady technological progress, and selective implementation based on clear ROI.

Probability: 50-60%

Conservative Scenario

Technical and organizational barriers limiting effective adoption

Key Drivers: Restrictive regulations, technical limitations, implementation challenges, and risk-averse organizational cultures.

Probability: 15-20%

Scenario Comparison Matrix

FactorOptimisticBase CaseConservative
Implementation TimelineAcceleratedSteadyDelayed
Market AdoptionWidespreadSelectiveLimited
Technology EvolutionRapidProgressiveIncremental
Regulatory EnvironmentSupportiveBalancedRestrictive
Business ImpactTransformativeSignificantModest

Transformational Impact

Technology becoming increasingly embedded in all aspects of business operations. This evolution will necessitate significant changes in organizational structures, talent development, and strategic planning processes.

The convergence of multiple technological trends—including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and ubiquitous connectivity—will create both unprecedented security challenges and innovative defensive capabilities.

Implementation Challenges

Technical complexity and organizational readiness remain key challenges. Organizations will need to develop comprehensive change management strategies to successfully navigate these transitions.

Regulatory uncertainty, particularly around emerging technologies like AI in security applications, will require flexible security architectures that can adapt to evolving compliance requirements.

Key Innovations to Watch

Artificial intelligence, distributed systems, and automation technologies leading innovation. Organizations should monitor these developments closely to maintain competitive advantages and effective security postures.

Strategic investments in research partnerships, technology pilots, and talent development will position forward-thinking organizations to leverage these innovations early in their development cycle.

Technical Glossary

Key technical terms and definitions to help understand the technologies discussed in this article.

Understanding the following technical concepts is essential for grasping the full implications of the security threats and defensive measures discussed in this article. These definitions provide context for both technical and non-technical readers.

Filter by difficulty:

electric vehicle intermediate

algorithm

platform intermediate

interface Platforms provide standardized environments that reduce development complexity and enable ecosystem growth through shared functionality and integration capabilities.

API beginner

platform APIs serve as the connective tissue in modern software architectures, enabling different applications and services to communicate and share data according to defined protocols and data formats.
API concept visualizationHow APIs enable communication between different software systems
Example: Cloud service providers like AWS, Google Cloud, and Azure offer extensive APIs that allow organizations to programmatically provision and manage infrastructure and services.