Leaked Meta memo teases 'half a dozen' new AI wearables, a mixed-reality push, and the return of the metaverse - Related to market, new, mixed-reality, meta, desk,
Leaked Meta memo teases 'half a dozen' new AI wearables, a mixed-reality push, and the return of the metaverse

Leaked memo from Meta's CTO teases a big year for Reality Labs.
Meta could launch several AI wearables, and new mixed-reality apps.
The memo says 2025 will decide if Reality Labs' efforts "will go down as the work of visionaries or a legendary misadventure”.
Following Mark Zuckerberg's comments about 2025 being a “defining year” for Meta's smart-glasses plans, a leaked internal memo apparently penned by Meta CTO Andrew Bosworth is teasing some big things for the XR and AI tech its Reality Labs division is working on.
Shared by Business Insider, the memo is reportedly titled "2025: The Year of Greatness" and was sent to Reality Labs staff in November last year. It’s quite long, and functions a fair bit of corporate motivational speak which isn’t all that relevant here, but here’s a snippet from the beginning of the leaked memo – I’ve highlighted some key text I’ll be discussing more below:
“Next year is going to be the most critical year in my 8 years at Reality Labs. We have the best portfolio of products we've ever had in market and are pushing our advantage by launching half a dozen more AI powered wearables. We need to drive sales, retention, and engagement across the board but especially in MR. And Horizon Worlds on mobile absolutely has to break out for our long term plans to have a chance. If you don't feel the weight of history on you then you aren't paying attention. This year likely determines whether this entire effort will go down as the work of visionaries or a legendary misadventure.”.
So we might see six AI wearables, a tentpole mixed-reality title, and a serious Horizon Worlds push. Starting with that final highlighted section however, which raises the prospect of failure on the part of Reality Labs failure, it should be noted that Bosworth’s comments aren't as overly dramatic as they seem.
While Reality Labs posted its highest-ever revenue of $[website] billion in Meta’s recent quarterly earnings research, it also posted its biggest ever loss at $[website] billion. The division has been hemorrhaging cash since 2020 in the pursuit of developing XR and AI tech, and Bosworth’s comments suggest that Meta and its investors finally want to see a return on their investment. Thankfully for Reality labs, the memo also teases how that might happen.
“Half a dozen” Meta AI wearables incoming?
Taken literally, Bosworth’s “half a dozen” comment points to that Meta has six AI wearables up its sleeve – and it sounds like they’re set to launch this year. If that's correct, this is significantly more than expected.
Based on leaks and teases we were expecting two 2025 hardware launches, maybe three at a push: the third-gen Meta Ray-Ban smart glasses teased by Mark Zuckerberg (which could include a display), Oakley versions of its existing second-gen AI smart glasses, and perhaps Oakley versions of its third-gen specs.
Beyond these we'd heard that Meta was developing some kind of smartwatch/wristband to control its glasses, and even camera-equipped earbuds – marking wearables four and five off our list – however, the earbuds weren’t expected to land anytime soon. Meanwhile the wristband was believed to be more of an add-on than a full-on AI wearable, so perhaps there are even more unknown AI Metra gadgets set to launch.
Based on what we think we know about Meta’s release schedule our money is on Bosworth not just talking about 2025 releases – as we know that Meta has other glasses on the way, including the consumer versions of its Meta Orion AR glasses – and that he was using “half a dozen” as a synonym for ‘several’ rather than a precise figure for Meta’s output. Given that the line is taken from a leaked internal memo rather than an official statement it’s not so crucial for Bosworth to speak precisely, which is why we’re leaning this way.
If, however, Meta is indeed releasing more glasses than expected, our best guess is that we’ll either see Ray-Ban and (the rumored) Oakley joined by a third brand adapting Meta’s smart glasses tech into their designs; or that, rather than the third-gen smart glasses and display-equipped specs being one and the same product, it could be they’re different devices, to give the line both a high-end and affordable refresh.
Mixed reality – which has an app on a VR headset blend real-life and virtual elements into a single experience – has been on a major upswing since the launch of affordable full-color mixed-reality headsets like the Meta Quest 3.
Unfortunately, beyond some fun and innovative, but admittedly limited, experiences in the likes of Starship Home and Infinite Inside, as well as some delightful mixed-reality modes in larger VR titles, there’s yet to be a tentpole MR game or app in the same way as the main campaigns of VR titles Asgard’s Wrath 2, Batman: Arkham Shadow, or Resident Evil 4 VR.
Bosworth’s comments suggest that Reality Labs is helping to publish some major mixed-reality releases this year that get closer to making MR feel as fully realized as VR. Admittedly, these experiences likely won't be on the scale of something like Batman: Arkham Shadow – given that MR titles are inherently more limited by the player’s space – but an MR Focus, and some AA-level MR titles (vs meta’s AAA-quality VR games) could be incoming, and I’m excited to see what 2025 has in store beyond what we know about already (including games such as Laser Dance, which are looking awesome already).
Since its launch, Horizon Worlds hasn’t really been much to write home about – in fact I wasn’t entirely aware that it had even launched on mobile yet. I only use it about once or twice a year to check out some concert in VR before letting it gather dust on my virtual game shelf. But I do know that Meta has been working on expanding the scope of Horizon Worlds, with not only player-made but game developer-made worlds for consumers to explore, and I’m cautiously optimistic that the game might finally feel like a complete package – which I can’t say was how I felt when it was first released.
Meta is likely hoping that its metaverse platform can steal away some of the success of the massively popular Roblox and Fortnite, with which Horizon Worlds shares several similarities, and more emphasis on Horizon Worlds' mobile port would help to reach audiences who have yet to buy a VR headset.
It’s been somewhat surprising to see Meta fail so miserably so far with Horizon Worlds given its social media-focused history with Facebook and Instagram, but perhaps 2025 is the year it finally turns the metaverse around. I’m cautiously optimistic that it might finally make the platform into something I care about, but I’m not holding my breath.
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(PR) German Tech Supply Chain Sees Massive 35% Market Contraction, Semiconductors Drop 41%

First of all, energy is sky-high expensive. Part of that is the Russian invasion of Ukraine cutting off Russian energy exports (both by Russia and the EU). Ukrainian exports are constrained by bottlenecks in pipelines and general industrial damage from Russian attacks. Germany compounded this problem by shutting down their nuclear reactors a decade ago after the Fukushima nuclear disaster. Energy prices are not as bad today as they were in 2023 before LNG terminals were constructed in Europe and the USA started exporting vast amounts of LNG to Europe but they are much higher than prices in 2018. Higher energy costs reduces the competitiveness of German companies.
Second, Germany depends on a strong export-dependent economy and that is dying quickly due to global factors. China is rapidly becoming a more hostile actor in geopolitics, the US and Europe are responding to this change and recalibrating, which then provokes a Chinese response and so on and so on it goes. The issue is that Germany used to export a huge amount of high-value goods to China so this trade route shutting down or shrinking creates huge overproduction problems for German companies.
Third, specific markets that Germany dominated in like luxury vehicles are quickly being outcompeted and outpriced by foreign competitors, especially China. This is different from point #2 because it is not just a issue of less exports to certain countries but that even the German domestic market is being crushed by foreign companies. The competition happens to be in the particular areas that Germany is heavily dependent on in terms of jobs and R&D.
Fourth, two decades of underinvestment are finally coming home to roost in Germany. The roads are not as good as they used to be, the ports are outdated, even the trains are running more out of schedule than they used. Public transport is degrading, the healthcare system is degrading, even the traditionally slow German public agencies are getting even slower under a morass of bureaucracy. This is not a result of European statism (other European states are doing a much superior administrative job) but rather a specific German problem of more mandates and requirements but less funding. Germany can’t spend the big bucks to get out of this problem (or the energy problem or any of its problems) because politically it is restricted by the “debt brake” which prevents the government from spending more than a small fraction of GDP on fiscal stimulus.
Fifth and last of all, there is no political consensus in Germany. The AfD is a rising pro-Nazi party that is isolated by the other parties (for good reasons), the ruling Social Democratic Party (SPD) are discredited by all the problems listed above as well as being abandoned by the working class after embracing welfare reform in the early 2010s, the Greens (counterculture environment-focused leftists) and the Free Democrats Party (FDP, basically German libertarians and businesspeople) are at loggerheads ideologically and also in the SPD coalition, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) is expected to win the election but won’t have a majority without either the Greens or the AfD, the Left Party (they consider themselves to be true leftists, not compromised centrists like the SPD or half-hearted Greens), and finally you have the BSW party which is former leftists and AfD members who are supporting a single politician (Sarah Wagenknecht, the SW in the party name stands for her initials).
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Market Impact Analysis
Market Growth Trend
2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% |
Quarterly Growth Rate
Q1 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 |
---|---|---|---|
6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% |
Market Segments and Growth Drivers
Segment | Market Share | Growth Rate |
---|---|---|
Semiconductors | 35% | 9.3% |
Consumer Electronics | 29% | 6.2% |
Enterprise Hardware | 22% | 5.8% |
Networking Equipment | 9% | 7.9% |
Other Hardware | 5% | 5.3% |
Technology Maturity Curve
Different technologies within the ecosystem are at varying stages of maturity:
Competitive Landscape Analysis
Company | Market Share |
---|---|
Apple | 18.7% |
Samsung | 16.4% |
Intel | 12.9% |
NVIDIA | 9.8% |
AMD | 7.3% |
Future Outlook and Predictions
The Leaked Meta Memo landscape is evolving rapidly, driven by technological advancements, changing threat vectors, and shifting business requirements. Based on current trends and expert analyses, we can anticipate several significant developments across different time horizons:
Year-by-Year Technology Evolution
Based on current trajectory and expert analyses, we can project the following development timeline:
Technology Maturity Curve
Different technologies within the ecosystem are at varying stages of maturity, influencing adoption timelines and investment priorities:
Innovation Trigger
- Generative AI for specialized domains
- Blockchain for supply chain verification
Peak of Inflated Expectations
- Digital twins for business processes
- Quantum-resistant cryptography
Trough of Disillusionment
- Consumer AR/VR applications
- General-purpose blockchain
Slope of Enlightenment
- AI-driven analytics
- Edge computing
Plateau of Productivity
- Cloud infrastructure
- Mobile applications
Technology Evolution Timeline
- Technology adoption accelerating across industries
- digital transformation initiatives becoming mainstream
- Significant transformation of business processes through advanced technologies
- new digital business models emerging
- Fundamental shifts in how technology integrates with business and society
- emergence of new technology paradigms
Expert Perspectives
Leading experts in the hardware tech sector provide diverse perspectives on how the landscape will evolve over the coming years:
"Technology transformation will continue to accelerate, creating both challenges and opportunities."
— Industry Expert
"Organizations must balance innovation with practical implementation to achieve meaningful results."
— Technology Analyst
"The most successful adopters will focus on business outcomes rather than technology for its own sake."
— Research Director
Areas of Expert Consensus
- Acceleration of Innovation: The pace of technological evolution will continue to increase
- Practical Integration: Focus will shift from proof-of-concept to operational deployment
- Human-Technology Partnership: Most effective implementations will optimize human-machine collaboration
- Regulatory Influence: Regulatory frameworks will increasingly shape technology development
Short-Term Outlook (1-2 Years)
In the immediate future, organizations will focus on implementing and optimizing currently available technologies to address pressing hardware tech challenges:
- Technology adoption accelerating across industries
- digital transformation initiatives becoming mainstream
These developments will be characterized by incremental improvements to existing frameworks rather than revolutionary changes, with emphasis on practical deployment and measurable outcomes.
Mid-Term Outlook (3-5 Years)
As technologies mature and organizations adapt, more substantial transformations will emerge in how security is approached and implemented:
- Significant transformation of business processes through advanced technologies
- new digital business models emerging
This period will see significant changes in security architecture and operational models, with increasing automation and integration between previously siloed security functions. Organizations will shift from reactive to proactive security postures.
Long-Term Outlook (5+ Years)
Looking further ahead, more fundamental shifts will reshape how cybersecurity is conceptualized and implemented across digital ecosystems:
- Fundamental shifts in how technology integrates with business and society
- emergence of new technology paradigms
These long-term developments will likely require significant technical breakthroughs, new regulatory frameworks, and evolution in how organizations approach security as a fundamental business function rather than a technical discipline.
Key Risk Factors and Uncertainties
Several critical factors could significantly impact the trajectory of hardware tech evolution:
Organizations should monitor these factors closely and develop contingency strategies to mitigate potential negative impacts on technology implementation timelines.
Alternative Future Scenarios
The evolution of technology can follow different paths depending on various factors including regulatory developments, investment trends, technological breakthroughs, and market adoption. We analyze three potential scenarios:
Optimistic Scenario
Rapid adoption of advanced technologies with significant business impact
Key Drivers: Supportive regulatory environment, significant research breakthroughs, strong market incentives, and rapid user adoption.
Probability: 25-30%
Base Case Scenario
Measured implementation with incremental improvements
Key Drivers: Balanced regulatory approach, steady technological progress, and selective implementation based on clear ROI.
Probability: 50-60%
Conservative Scenario
Technical and organizational barriers limiting effective adoption
Key Drivers: Restrictive regulations, technical limitations, implementation challenges, and risk-averse organizational cultures.
Probability: 15-20%
Scenario Comparison Matrix
Factor | Optimistic | Base Case | Conservative |
---|---|---|---|
Implementation Timeline | Accelerated | Steady | Delayed |
Market Adoption | Widespread | Selective | Limited |
Technology Evolution | Rapid | Progressive | Incremental |
Regulatory Environment | Supportive | Balanced | Restrictive |
Business Impact | Transformative | Significant | Modest |
Transformational Impact
Technology becoming increasingly embedded in all aspects of business operations. This evolution will necessitate significant changes in organizational structures, talent development, and strategic planning processes.
The convergence of multiple technological trends—including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and ubiquitous connectivity—will create both unprecedented security challenges and innovative defensive capabilities.
Implementation Challenges
Technical complexity and organizational readiness remain key challenges. Organizations will need to develop comprehensive change management strategies to successfully navigate these transitions.
Regulatory uncertainty, particularly around emerging technologies like AI in security applications, will require flexible security architectures that can adapt to evolving compliance requirements.
Key Innovations to Watch
Artificial intelligence, distributed systems, and automation technologies leading innovation. Organizations should monitor these developments closely to maintain competitive advantages and effective security postures.
Strategic investments in research partnerships, technology pilots, and talent development will position forward-thinking organizations to leverage these innovations early in their development cycle.
Technical Glossary
Key technical terms and definitions to help understand the technologies discussed in this article.
Understanding the following technical concepts is essential for grasping the full implications of the security threats and defensive measures discussed in this article. These definitions provide context for both technical and non-technical readers.