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GitHub Availability Report: January 2025

GitHub Availability Report: January 2025

In January, we experienced three incidents that resulted in degraded performance across GitHub services.

January 09 1:26 UTC (lasting 31 minutes).

On January 9, 2025, between 01:26 UTC and 01:56 UTC, GitHub experienced widespread disruption to many services, with customers receiving 500 responses when trying to access various functionality. This was due to a deployment which introduced a query that saturated a primary database server. On average, the error rate was 6% and peaked at [website] of modification requests.

We were able to mitigate the incident by identifying the source of the problematic query and rolling back the deployment. The internal tooling and our dashboards surfaced the relevant data that helped us quickly identify the problematic query. It took us a total of 14 minutes from the time to engage to finding the errant query.

However, we are investing in tooling to detect problematic queries prior to deployment to prevent and to reduce our time to detection and mitigation of issues like this one in the future.

January 13 23:35 UTC (lasting 49 minutes).

On January 13, 2025, between 23:35 UTC and 00:24 UTC, all Git operations were unavailable due to a configuration change related to traffic routing and testing that caused our internal load balancer to drop requests between services that Git relies upon.

We mitigated the incident by rolling back the configuration change.

We are improving our monitoring and deployment practices to improve our time to detection and automated mitigation for issues like this in the future.

January 30 14:22 UTC (lasting 26 minutes).

On January 30, 2025, between 14:22 UTC and 14:48 UTC, web requests to [website] experienced failures (at peak the error rate was 44%), with the average successful request taking over three seconds to complete.

This outage was caused by a hardware failure in the caching layer that supports rate limiting. In addition, the impact was prolonged due to a lack of automated failover for the caching layer. A manual failover of the primary to trusted hardware was performed following recovery to ensure that the issue would not reoccur under similar circumstances.

As a result of this incident, we will be moving to a high availability cache configuration and adding resilience to cache failures at this layer to ensure requests are able to be handled should similar circumstances happen in the future.

Please follow our status page for real-time updates on status changes and post-incident recaps. To learn more about what we’re working on, check out the GitHub Engineering Blog.

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Why build your own vector DB? To process 25,000 images per second

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Market Impact Analysis

Market Growth Trend

2018201920202021202220232024
7.5%9.0%9.4%10.5%11.0%11.4%11.5%
7.5%9.0%9.4%10.5%11.0%11.4%11.5% 2018201920202021202220232024

Quarterly Growth Rate

Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024
10.8% 11.1% 11.3% 11.5%
10.8% Q1 11.1% Q2 11.3% Q3 11.5% Q4

Market Segments and Growth Drivers

Segment Market Share Growth Rate
Enterprise Software38%10.8%
Cloud Services31%17.5%
Developer Tools14%9.3%
Security Software12%13.2%
Other Software5%7.5%
Enterprise Software38.0%Cloud Services31.0%Developer Tools14.0%Security Software12.0%Other Software5.0%

Technology Maturity Curve

Different technologies within the ecosystem are at varying stages of maturity:

Innovation Trigger Peak of Inflated Expectations Trough of Disillusionment Slope of Enlightenment Plateau of Productivity AI/ML Blockchain VR/AR Cloud Mobile

Competitive Landscape Analysis

Company Market Share
Microsoft22.6%
Oracle14.8%
SAP12.5%
Salesforce9.7%
Adobe8.3%

Future Outlook and Predictions

The Github Availability Report landscape is evolving rapidly, driven by technological advancements, changing threat vectors, and shifting business requirements. Based on current trends and expert analyses, we can anticipate several significant developments across different time horizons:

Year-by-Year Technology Evolution

Based on current trajectory and expert analyses, we can project the following development timeline:

2024Early adopters begin implementing specialized solutions with measurable results
2025Industry standards emerging to facilitate broader adoption and integration
2026Mainstream adoption begins as technical barriers are addressed
2027Integration with adjacent technologies creates new capabilities
2028Business models transform as capabilities mature
2029Technology becomes embedded in core infrastructure and processes
2030New paradigms emerge as the technology reaches full maturity

Technology Maturity Curve

Different technologies within the ecosystem are at varying stages of maturity, influencing adoption timelines and investment priorities:

Time / Development Stage Adoption / Maturity Innovation Early Adoption Growth Maturity Decline/Legacy Emerging Tech Current Focus Established Tech Mature Solutions (Interactive diagram available in full report)

Innovation Trigger

  • Generative AI for specialized domains
  • Blockchain for supply chain verification

Peak of Inflated Expectations

  • Digital twins for business processes
  • Quantum-resistant cryptography

Trough of Disillusionment

  • Consumer AR/VR applications
  • General-purpose blockchain

Slope of Enlightenment

  • AI-driven analytics
  • Edge computing

Plateau of Productivity

  • Cloud infrastructure
  • Mobile applications

Technology Evolution Timeline

1-2 Years
  • Technology adoption accelerating across industries
  • digital transformation initiatives becoming mainstream
3-5 Years
  • Significant transformation of business processes through advanced technologies
  • new digital business models emerging
5+ Years
  • Fundamental shifts in how technology integrates with business and society
  • emergence of new technology paradigms

Expert Perspectives

Leading experts in the software dev sector provide diverse perspectives on how the landscape will evolve over the coming years:

"Technology transformation will continue to accelerate, creating both challenges and opportunities."

— Industry Expert

"Organizations must balance innovation with practical implementation to achieve meaningful results."

— Technology Analyst

"The most successful adopters will focus on business outcomes rather than technology for its own sake."

— Research Director

Areas of Expert Consensus

  • Acceleration of Innovation: The pace of technological evolution will continue to increase
  • Practical Integration: Focus will shift from proof-of-concept to operational deployment
  • Human-Technology Partnership: Most effective implementations will optimize human-machine collaboration
  • Regulatory Influence: Regulatory frameworks will increasingly shape technology development

Short-Term Outlook (1-2 Years)

In the immediate future, organizations will focus on implementing and optimizing currently available technologies to address pressing software dev challenges:

  • Technology adoption accelerating across industries
  • digital transformation initiatives becoming mainstream

These developments will be characterized by incremental improvements to existing frameworks rather than revolutionary changes, with emphasis on practical deployment and measurable outcomes.

Mid-Term Outlook (3-5 Years)

As technologies mature and organizations adapt, more substantial transformations will emerge in how security is approached and implemented:

  • Significant transformation of business processes through advanced technologies
  • new digital business models emerging

This period will see significant changes in security architecture and operational models, with increasing automation and integration between previously siloed security functions. Organizations will shift from reactive to proactive security postures.

Long-Term Outlook (5+ Years)

Looking further ahead, more fundamental shifts will reshape how cybersecurity is conceptualized and implemented across digital ecosystems:

  • Fundamental shifts in how technology integrates with business and society
  • emergence of new technology paradigms

These long-term developments will likely require significant technical breakthroughs, new regulatory frameworks, and evolution in how organizations approach security as a fundamental business function rather than a technical discipline.

Key Risk Factors and Uncertainties

Several critical factors could significantly impact the trajectory of software dev evolution:

Technical debt accumulation
Security integration challenges
Maintaining code quality

Organizations should monitor these factors closely and develop contingency strategies to mitigate potential negative impacts on technology implementation timelines.

Alternative Future Scenarios

The evolution of technology can follow different paths depending on various factors including regulatory developments, investment trends, technological breakthroughs, and market adoption. We analyze three potential scenarios:

Optimistic Scenario

Rapid adoption of advanced technologies with significant business impact

Key Drivers: Supportive regulatory environment, significant research breakthroughs, strong market incentives, and rapid user adoption.

Probability: 25-30%

Base Case Scenario

Measured implementation with incremental improvements

Key Drivers: Balanced regulatory approach, steady technological progress, and selective implementation based on clear ROI.

Probability: 50-60%

Conservative Scenario

Technical and organizational barriers limiting effective adoption

Key Drivers: Restrictive regulations, technical limitations, implementation challenges, and risk-averse organizational cultures.

Probability: 15-20%

Scenario Comparison Matrix

FactorOptimisticBase CaseConservative
Implementation TimelineAcceleratedSteadyDelayed
Market AdoptionWidespreadSelectiveLimited
Technology EvolutionRapidProgressiveIncremental
Regulatory EnvironmentSupportiveBalancedRestrictive
Business ImpactTransformativeSignificantModest

Transformational Impact

Technology becoming increasingly embedded in all aspects of business operations. This evolution will necessitate significant changes in organizational structures, talent development, and strategic planning processes.

The convergence of multiple technological trends—including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and ubiquitous connectivity—will create both unprecedented security challenges and innovative defensive capabilities.

Implementation Challenges

Technical complexity and organizational readiness remain key challenges. Organizations will need to develop comprehensive change management strategies to successfully navigate these transitions.

Regulatory uncertainty, particularly around emerging technologies like AI in security applications, will require flexible security architectures that can adapt to evolving compliance requirements.

Key Innovations to Watch

Artificial intelligence, distributed systems, and automation technologies leading innovation. Organizations should monitor these developments closely to maintain competitive advantages and effective security postures.

Strategic investments in research partnerships, technology pilots, and talent development will position forward-thinking organizations to leverage these innovations early in their development cycle.

Technical Glossary

Key technical terms and definitions to help understand the technologies discussed in this article.

Understanding the following technical concepts is essential for grasping the full implications of the security threats and defensive measures discussed in this article. These definitions provide context for both technical and non-technical readers.

Filter by difficulty:

platform intermediate

algorithm Platforms provide standardized environments that reduce development complexity and enable ecosystem growth through shared functionality and integration capabilities.

microservices intermediate

interface

framework intermediate

platform

API beginner

encryption APIs serve as the connective tissue in modern software architectures, enabling different applications and services to communicate and share data according to defined protocols and data formats.
API concept visualizationHow APIs enable communication between different software systems
Example: Cloud service providers like AWS, Google Cloud, and Azure offer extensive APIs that allow organizations to programmatically provision and manage infrastructure and services.

interface intermediate

API Well-designed interfaces abstract underlying complexity while providing clearly defined methods for interaction between different system components.